By: AIS Capital Management
Gold, the Tariff War, China, and the Future of the Dollar From late January of this year through mid-April cash gold held in a tight range of approximately 1300 to 1350. Several times in our commentaries we stated a high expectation that gold would breakout to new recovery highs. In addition to positive technical action, our expectation of strong fundamental support was based on a continuing rise in the inflation rate, moderate real interest rates, the increasing quantity of government debt in excess of GDP growth, and an expectation that dollar weakness would resume, given the dollar’s overvaluation on a purchasing power basis. Instead gold has declined from mid-April level of 1350 to a low of 1200 in the past week. What explains the weak price action in
By: AIS Capital Management
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