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American Lithium corp. Executing Large Scale Strategy

NEW YORK, NY / ACCESSWIRE / May 11, 2016 / American Lithium Corp. (TSX VENTURE: LI) (OTC: MNIKF) is developing a lithium brine project in Nevada with world-class potential, approximately 25 km from Albemarle’s Silver Peak (the only commercially producing lithium project in North America). American Lithium Corp. is the subject of a Mining MarketWatch Journal Review. The Company is executing on a large-scale strategy having assembled 100% of the entire heart of Fish Lake Valley structure (over 10,000 acres) that is believed analogous to the neighboring Clayton Valley structure (home to Albemarle, Pure Energy Minerals, and Lithium X), both valleys have similar hydrothermal enrichment models. American Lithium’s Fish Lake Valley Project is advanced-stage and lithium values are encouraging enough for the Company to start to delineate the resource in the sediments of the brines, how big this gets is where things get interesting; the project exhibits hallmarks of major lithium resource presence with the footprint, scope, and scalability that will allow the Company to create a large critical mass presence — something the market is thirsting for as global industrial manufactures look to ensure they have adequate domestic supplies of lithium to satisfy growing demands.

The full Mining Journal review may be viewed at http://miningmarketwatch.net/li.htm online.

The Company is spearheaded by an experienced management team that is no stranger to major success, having individually employed well-timed visionary big-picture strategies at other companies. The team behind LI.V now was part of the same group that that were involved, long before the current lithium rush ever happened, with Pure Energy Minerals in its early-days; Pure Energy was recapitalized and advanced its flagship to resource (PE now hosts an inferred lithium resource of 816,000 LCE). Other past successes include major oil sand projects (e.g. Osum Oil Sands Corp. which attained a multi-billion dollar market cap) — In short, American Lithium shareholders are in solid hands of people that are proven, technically savvy, responsible, prudent and plan with large-scale in mind.

American Lithium Corp. has ~28.43 million shares outstanding (post recent C$2 million financing), ~35.7M fully-diluted. The market cap is miniscule relative to the potential and the current share price presents an opportunity for shareholders to reap large returns as the Company advances to de-risk the Fish Valley Asset this Summer-2016 and prove its resource merit. Li values at the Fish Lake Valley Lithium Project to date are comparable on par with those found at projects in Clayton Valley such as Albemarle (Silver Peak) and Pure Energy Minerals, more importantly the values are at a much shallower depth of almost from surface to 140 feet. By focusing initially on the shallows the Company will aim to advance/re-risk the Project quickly and relatively inexpensively, then as encouraging results come in, potentially turn the shallows into a resource/reserve and move out deeper.

This Spring-2016 American Lithium Corp. announced the acquisition of the different pieces that make up the Fish Lake Valley land package that encompass the entirety of key structures of the South and North bowls, which contain the lithium-rich laden brines, and where gravity data shows distinct gravity lows. Previous owners included project generators that had been holding on to these coveted assets individually, waiting for the right suitor capable of meaningfully advancing the project with a cohesive strategy — American Lithium now has 100% control via 100% earn-in interest, with initial principal consideration already issued and development plan in place to attain 100%.

A robust hydrothermal enrichment situation exists in Fish Lake Valley:

Neighboring Pure Energy has developed a model in Clayton Valley whereby Li concentrations are hydrothermally enriched along different fault lines, and so too, similarly, has American Lithium Corp. from the data collected at Fish Lake Valley. Past explorers of the two bowls in Fish Lake Valley approached from differing focus/perspectives; the south bowl playa and surrounding area was explored for the most part structurally (chasing other minerals), mapping structures in the process. The north bowl playa had been explored mainly peripherally (in the shallows, around the main body of the basin) for Lithium with great success, however past operators were not in a position to develop or explore further inward. American Lithium Corp. has the wherewithal to advance this to fruition and has the advantage of combining the data sets from both past explorers (which relate directly to each other) and correlate it to the understanding of the enrichment model that Pure Energy has proven.

The North bowl playa (7,840 acres):

The valley fill sediments are thought to be 300 to 600 meters (985 to 1970 feet) thick at Fish Lake Valley based on the borehole and gravity data available. Data extracted from the 43-101 Technical Report on the Fish Lake Valley Lithium-Brine Project, November 30, 2015 indicate Lithium in sediments ranging in concentration from 116 ppm to 1040 ppm (average 540.7 ppm), boron from 110 ppm to 4070 ppm (average 1772 ppm), potassium from 0.7% to 2.24% (average 1.53%), and magnesium from 0.35% to 6.37% (average 2.09%). Sodium is abundant on the property with values ranging from 0.47% to >10% (upper detection limit). Brines tested to date also contain anomalous concentrations of the above listed elements, with lithium ranging from 0.81 mg/L to 150 mg/L, boron from <1 mg/L to 2670 mg/L, potassium from 30 to 13300 mg/L, and magnesium from 0.116 mg/L to 41.5 mg/L. In all, approximately 1080 meters (3545 feet) of direct push drilling was completed within 41 holes drilled at 25 sites. Depths probed ranged from 13.11 meters (43.01 feet) to 47.24 meters (154.99 feet). In addition 42 brine samples have been collected from hand held auger holes and surface waters. The property has proven to contain economically interesting lithium/boron/potassium brine mineralization. Important to note is that there is near total absence of magnesium in the brines, which is excellent as high levels of magnesium are problematic (costs go up significantly) when it comes to a production scenario due to its similarity to lithium.

The South bowl playa (2,882 acres, A.K.A. the ‘Atlantis’ claims):

The entity vending the Atlantis claims to American Lithium Corp. made the decision to acquire Atlantis after a review of geological mapping that showed the presence of lithium-bearing rocks in the ranges draining into the Property, and historical ground gravity data that showed a distinct gravity low in the heart of the Atlantis claims. The gravity low was interpreted as a strong indication for the presence of a sub-basin that could host lithium-bearing brines. Dr. John Oldow’s more detailed gravity survey work in Esmeralda County in recent years better defined the historical gravity low as a deep, sub-basin, which led to the staking additional claims at Atlantis in January 2016, to expand the Property. Geophysical exploration at Atlantis in the form of additional gravity and electromagnetic surveys would assist in determining if conductive brines might be present at depth, followed by exploratory drilling of interpreted geophysical targets. As part of a regional lithium exploration program, the United States Geological Survey (“USGS”) reported in Open-File Report 81-962 (1981) that historical drill hole FL-11a is located outside the eastern boundary of the Property, approximately 3 miles (4.5 kilometres) east of the centre of the interpreted sub-basin. Hole FL-11a was drilled to a depth of 450 feet (147 metres) and encountered lithium values in sediments ranging from 10 parts per million (“ppm”) to 115 ppm and averaging 61.7 ppm for 67 samples analyzed. Lithium in sampled ground water ranged from trace at the end of the hole to 21 ppm at a depth of 55 feet (18 metres). American Lithium believes that drilling deeper holes at Atlantis within the area of the interpreted sub-basin could intersect aquifers potentially hosting trapped brines with higher contents of lithium than were encountered in the relatively shallow USGS hole drilled to the east of the gravity low anomaly. Also reported in USGS Open File Report 77-54 (1977) were the collection of 10 surface brine samples with lithium contents ranging 37 – 350 mg/l (ppm), averaging 159 mg/l (ppm), to the north of the sub-basin.

Summer-2016 Development Plans: We anticipate American Lithium Corp. will follow through with a development program in the range of US$1 million – $1.5 million for its Fish Lake Valley Lithium Project; building out ~3 – 4 miles of roads further into the playa (cost ~$15K/mile), and following additional ground gravity surveys, the team will probably set up a sonic drilling program, which is the most cost effective way (relatively inexpensive) to get the samples geologists need from the sediments. The team should be able to keep to under 5 acres of disturbed land, thus avoiding major permitting issues. The team will also conduct brine recovery, and evaporating testing. In short, the team will hone in on structures and sweet spots. A fault system has already been mapped leading directly through the claim blocks.

Brine is by far the easiest and lowest cost type of lithium resource to process (compared to rock and clays), generally easier to explore, has a small environmental footprint, is faster to put into production, and requires less capital.

The full Mining Journal review may be viewed at http://miningmarketwatch.net/li.htm online.

This release may contain forward-looking statements regarding future events that involve risk and uncertainties. Estimates of potential made by the mining analyst and journals are non 43-101 and not from the Company. Readers are cautioned that these forward-looking statements are only predictions and may differ materially from actual events or results. Articles, excerpts, commentary and reviews herein are for information purposes and are not solicitations to buy or sell any of the securities mentioned.

Contact information:

James O’Rourke, Editor
Mining MarketWatch Journal

editor@miningmarketwatch.net

SOURCE: Mining MarketWatch Journal

Source: Accesswire IA (May 11, 2016 08:09:00 EDT)

News by QuoteMedia

www.quotemedia.comOn May 11, 2016, at 10:35 AM

Westkam Reaching its Target

Kal Kotecha PhD

When I look at prospective companies to invest in, one important trait that I seek is consistency. I look for consistent improvement in the company’s financial statements, consistent innovation or deployment of best practices, and most importantly in the junior mining sector; I look for consistency in reaching the targets the company sets for itself across functional areas. Working largely with speculative resources, junior mining companies need to implement a level of stability to their operation by setting targets and timelines and reaching them within reasonable margins of error. WestKam Gold Corp. has achieved this stability through its diverse property resources and commitment to reaching operational goals.

WestKam Gold Corp. (TSX.V – WKG) (“WestKam” or the “Company”) is a Canadian gold exploration company focused on developing the 100% owned Bonaparte Gold Project Near Kamloops, British Columbia. A veteran of the industry, the Company was incorporated in British Columbia on October 2, 1984 as Consolidated Goldwin Ventures Inc. Effectively on April 30, 2012 the Company changed its name to WestKam Gold Corp., which coincided with a significant change in management and direction. The Company’s strategy is to identify, acquire, explore and develop precious and base metal deposits amenable to low production costs and high operating margins, focusing on properties with low entry level costs. WestKam has delivered consistent progress since its managerial change, implementing a successful exploration program, a drill campaign and identifying additional resources outside of its initial discovery zone. This has been achieved while maintaining effective relations with nearby First Nations tribe Stk’emlupsemc te Secwepemc Nation.

Announced in November of 2015, WestKam intends to raise up to $1,954,000 by way of a non-brokered private placement of units (the “Offering”) and flow-through units of the Company at a price of $0.03 per unit. The proceeds of the Offering will be used to conduct a Phase II work program on the Company’s Bonaparte property, to repay outstanding debt and for working capital and general corporate purposes. Phase II expenses will primarily be directed toward an expansive underground 220m drill program on the Bonaparte property along with legal and accounting costs, marketing, rent and office costs, consulting fees and management fees.

WestKam currently boasts a share price of $0.04 – an increase on its original offering price of $0.03 per unit in November 2015. As noted by the Globe and Mail, “WestKam Gold Corp. shares have gained 60% year to date. Shares have outperformed the S&P TSX by 44.58% during the last year” (The Globe and Mail, 2016). The increase has coincided directly with gold’s stellar performance in the first quarter of 2016, which has benefited many junior mining companies. Recently gold prices have fluctuated but we expect the price to rebound and remain firm across the year, catalyzing junior mining companies such as WestKam with it. This is affirmed by Michael Armbruster, founder at Altavest who suggests “gold is likely to benefit from some key “tailwinds.” Those tailwinds include central banks moving to negative interest rates and investors looking to diversify into alternative investments due to heightened U.S political uncertainty and mixed messages from the U.S. Federal Reserve” (MarketWatch, 2016). As has been the trend historically, stalwart gold succeeds during times of uncertainty, and the currency, market and political fluctuations all point to smooth sailing for investors of gold and its compliments.

WestKam Gold Corp. – 3 Month Share Performance

westkamgold

(The Globe and Mail, 2016) Consistent growth in share price across 2016

The Company has a history of marketing success both in its mining yields and in properties themselves. The last bulk sample that WestKam sold fetched nearly $150,000 for 161.950 Troy Ounces. Even more impressive, several members of WestKam’s management, including President & CEO Matt Wayrynen, team have had significant success in past mining ventures. As Director of his last venture, Quinto Mining, Mr. Wayrynen helped raise millions of dollars and advanced a Quebec iron ore property to a viable project. Quinto Mining sold to Consolidated Thompson Iron Mines in June 2008 for a share value equal to $175 Million. Later, Consolidated Thompson was sold to Cliffs Resources for nearly $5 Billion, thanks in large part to the efforts Wayrynen forwarded to advance the Quebec property. These marketing successes align directly with the theme of consistency that has pushed WestKam and its Bonaparte Property forward in recent years, and without doubt, history is the best predictor of future behavior.

The Bonaparte Property consists of diverse resources across its area, which are defined as the “Discovery Zone” and “Cooler Creek Zone”. Within the Discovery Zone, which is the area that has been primarily explored since 1984, a 3,425-ton bulk sample from one of the high grade vein systems produced a grade of 26 g/t Gold (0.75 oz/ton Gold). Within the Cooler Creek Zone, which is the area drilled and tested in 2015, a new vein assayed 7.88 g/t Gold (0.253 oz/t Gold), 38.4 g/t Silver, 0.33% Copper and 28.6 g/t Tellurium over 1.0 meters. The diversity in resources of the still relatively unexplored property posits a major advantage for the Company and its investors in that it can look to extract and sell these individual resources, or the property at large to a major mining company, based on timely conditions presented by the market.

bonaparte-property
Map of WestKam’s Bonaparte Property

Looking at the map above, it is important to note the additional mining entities in the region. Specifically, New Gold Inc. operates its New Afton Project, an open-pit gold and silver mine, within an hour of the Bonaparte Property. New Gold Inc. is working toward its growth strategy by achieving “[E]xternal growth through additional value enhancing merger and acquisition opportunities” (New Gold, 2016). The logistical and resource advantages that the Bonaparte Property can deliver to New Gold Inc. indicates potential for a merger or acquisition to occur. Due to the average grade at the New Afton Mine, Weskam’s high grade gold deposit would be a great fit helping to enhance New Afton’s average grade. This would significantly enhance WestKam’s share price – a clear win for all stakeholders involved.

WestKam’s enduring consistency in reaching targets and timelines since 2014 gives me confidence in their capacity to continue to reach their goals and produce positive results for shareholders, capitalizing on the bull gold market we are experiencing. Beginning in 2014, WestKam implemented a series of programs designed to exploit the full potential of its Bonaparte Gold Project. These programs are highlighted as follows:

2014 Exploration at Bonaparte

• The 2014 exploration program was completed in November 2014, advancing both of the property’s key targets:
o Shear-hosted, high-grade gold mineralization in quartz veins (Discovery Zone), and
o Bulk tonnage, porphyry copper-gold target
• The 2014 field program included mapping and prospecting, 3D IP and magnetic geophysical surveys and soil geochemistry
• The Voltera 3D IP and ground magnetic surveys produced information that substantially extended the strike length of the high-grade Discovery gold zone trend and a multi-phase intrusive

thediscovery
The Discovery Zone and intrusive target occupy a small
portion of the large Bonaparte Claim block

2015 Drill Campaign at Bonaparte

• The 2015 drill exploration program was completed in October 2015, representing an important follow-up to the results achieved in 2014
• Key objectives of the program included:
o Evaluate high-grade gold intercepts in the “Discovery Zone” along the Grey-Jay vein system at depth and along strike
o Evaluate historical and anomalous Cu-Au soil geochemical results overlying IP chargeability and resistivity anomalies

2015 Drill Campaign Achievement

• Upon testing, the drill exploration program identified a large new target area called the Cooler Creek Zone
• Drilling encountered veins in granodiorite with the same type of mineralization as the Discovery Zone
• The hole assayed 7.88 g/t Gold, (0.253 oz/t Gold), 28.4 g/t Silver, 0.33% Copper and 28.6 g/t Tellurium over 1.0 metres

WestKam Gold Corp. is prepared to act on the results of its 2015 Drill Campaign by conducting Phase II of its work program which, as highlighted earlier, will consist primarily of drilling in 2016. The Company is operating in a favourable market for gold with fluctuating political and currency conditions and gold prices not seen since in 30 years. This suggests that there is potential for a major mining company to purchase the property to fully extract its resources and capitalize on gold’s pricing boom.

For investors looking to diversify their portfolio by adding a junior mining company that will achieve stock success as a complement to gold over the year, the enduringly consistent WestKam Gold Corp. (TSX.V – WKG) is worth a serious look.

Works Cited

“New Gold Inc. – Company Information.” New Gold Inc. Web. 05 Apr. 2016.

“The Globe and Mail – Stock Quote.” The Globe and Mail. Web. 04 Apr. 2016.

SAEFONG, Myra. “Gold Scores Biggest Quarterly Gain in Nearly 30 Years.” MarketWatch. Web. 04 Apr. 2016

MGX Contractor Completes Capex Report for Lithum Carbonate Plant

2016-05-09 09:58 ET – News Release

Mr. Jared Lazerson reports

MGX MINERALS RECEIVES INITIAL CAPEX REPORT FOR LITHIUM CARBONATE PLANT

MGX Minerals Inc. has received the initial capital expenditure (capex) report for a lithium carbonate production plant from engineering consultant Cementation AG. The capex budget is the second part of the previously received initial process design and scoping study (see press release dated April 14, 2016).

MGX engaged Cementation AG to analyze extraction of minerals from the heavily mineralized brine within the Fox Creek and Swan Hills areas, which are part of the company’s portfolio of Alberta lithium properties. Cementation AG formulated a detailed initial capex budget based on quotations from potential vendors in addition to applying in-house expertise and experience. The capex plan provides a positive basis for the company to proceed with engineering of an initial 20,000 bpd (barrels per day) lithium carbonate production plant.

Scoping study highlights

Further details of the proposed process and production plant design are provided as follows:

  • Reduction of production time of lithium carbonate by greater than 99 per cent over current traditional brine production — one day versus 18 months;
  • Multiple end market products including lithium carbonate, sodium chloride and calcium chloride with potential for addition of boron and bromine production;
  • Strategic sourcing of reagents and energy to reduce input costs;
  • Application of energy-efficient technology to significantly reduce potential operating expenditures (opex);
  • Utilization of existing oil and gas infrastructure and expertise to reduce capex and opex.

The study includes flowsheet recommendations and operational expenditure (opex) calculations to process lithium-bearing brine of 20,000 bpd (barrels per day) in a commercial plant. The process is designed to rapidly separate brine minerals to produce various industrial mineral compounds. The study also includes a metallurgy testing protocol. MGX is currently evaluating metallurgical laboratories for bench testing of the proposed process. As a result of the positive capex report, Cementation AG has provided a six-month engineering and development project plan to follow metallurgy testing for the detailed engineering of the proposed lithium carbonate plant.

Alberta lithium properties

MGX has staked or entered into purchase agreements to acquire a 100-per-cent undivided interest in 24 metallic and industrial mineral permits throughout the province of Alberta encompassing over 1,150 square miles (300,000 hectares). These permits were acquired based on compilation of historic exploration for lithium by the province as well as oil and gas well data and known geology. The permits are all geological associated with current and past-producing oil fields.

Qualified person

This press release was prepared under the supervision and review of Andris Kikauka, PGeo, and vice-president of exploration for MGX Minerals. Mr. Kikauka is a non-independent qualified person within the meaning of National Instrument 43-101 standards.

We seek Safe Harbor.

© 2016 Canjex Publishing Ltd. All rights reserved.

Cardiff expects increased oil shows at Clayton No. 1H

 

2016-04-27 10:08 ET – News Release

Mr. Jack Bal reports

Cardiff Energy Corp. is providing an update on the status of the Clayton No. 1H well following successful acid treatment. As previously announced on March 30, 2016, the Clayton No. 1H was treated with 19,000 gallons of acid in nine intervals which encountered the highest hydrocarbon shows during drilling.

The reservoir responded extremely well to the treatment; strong pressure was encountered in the well with numerous gas kicks and fluids flowing to surface. The next step was to install a pump to begin pumping off the completion and drilling fluid. The completion team estimates that roughly 3,000 barrels of fluid needs to be removed from the Clayton No. 1H before significant oil cuts will be encountered. To date, over 1,000 barrels have been removed, and, during the next 10 days, the completion team expects to see increased oil shows and to be in a position to prepare the well for commercial production. Once production stabilizes, the company will be in a position to report a flow rate.

To learn more about the company and the drilling of the Clayton No. 1H horizontal well, please visit the company’s website.

The company holds a 70-per-cent working interest in the Clayton No. 1H, and its joint venture partner, Equitorial Exploration Corp., can earn up to 30-per-cent working interest. The company holds a 100-per-cent working interest in Bearcat No. 4.

We seek Safe Harbor.

© 2016 Canjex Publishing Ltd. All rights reserved.

American Lithium Appoints Squires to Board of Directors

 

2016-05-11 09:40 ET – News Release

Mr. Michael Kobler reports

American Lithium Corp. has appointed Andrew Squires to its board of directors. Mr. Squires brings over three decades of resource development experience in the energy and natural resources industries, both domestically and internationally. In this time, he has established a proven history of success in creating strong management teams and helping to grow new resource ventures into prosperous operations. His entrepreneurial spirit combined with his all-encompassing technical, operational and financial knowledge on the logistics and complexity in this sector are the talents that have led to his success in helping to create and monetize value in the resource development sector.

Of recent note, Mr. Squires was part of the original executive team of Osum Oil Sands Corp., a successful junior oil sands company, in which he was instrumental in creating the team and helping to raise over $1-billion in private equity, taking the company to commercial production. Prior to starting Osum Oil Sands, Mr. Squires worked for his own consulting firm, providing services for clients including Exxon, Pemex, PetroCanada and Chevron. Mr. Squires’s engineering and management skills were honed working for companies such as Dominion Exploration, Paramount Resources and Amoco.

Mr. Squires is currently an executive adviser for Osum Oil Sands, president of AXS Industries — a global energy investment advisory firm, a senior associate of Renown AMG (upstream energy asset management company), and is actively engaged in a number of start-ups and financings in the energy storage, oilfield equipment and aerospace fields. Mr. Squires holds a BSc in mechanical engineering from the University of Alberta.

Michael Kobler, Chief executive officer of American Lithium, commented: “I’ve known Andrew for over 10 years. He was the boilerplate behind the Osum Oil Sands team where we successfully built a company from inception to over a $2-billion-producing commercial entity. I am confident that Andrew will provide many important contributions towards the execution of American Lithium’s corporate strategy.”

Mr. Squires fills the vacancy created by Richard Ko, who has resigned from the board of directors. Mr. Ko will remain with the company as Chief financial officer.

© 2016 Canjex Publishing Ltd. All rights reserved.

The Lies You Are Told About Gold

0

For the last 5 years, most were caught on the wrong side of the gold market.  As gold was topping in 2011, most market participants, and analysts alike, were caught looking the wrong way.  Most were uber-bullish when the market was topping, and remained so almost the entire way down.

Why did so many get it wrong in 2011?  Why did most get it wrong for the last 4 years? Because most market participants and analysts do not understand gold.  Feel free to read that again: most market participants and analysts do not understand gold.  And, worse yet, most have bought into or sell you on the lies and fallacies about gold and are not burdened by the true facts presented through our recent history.

You Are Being Sold Lies

Just recently, I read the following in an article on Gold-Eagle.com:

Gold is the final safe haven left to securely invest in which has stood the test of time over thousands of years. It has maintained its’ value throughout at least the last five thousand years. The sudden and most recent ‘break out’ in gold is proof that its’ safe-haven status is still intact. The price of gold is rising more on the expectation of the next financial crisis.  Imagine how high the price of gold could go when the real crisis impacts world economies.” (See the following link for complete article:  http://www.gold-eagle.com/article/price-gold-going-ballistic )

I want you to consider a couple of questions about this paragraph before we prove the faulty nature of such thinking.  First, is gold really a “safe haven” from a financial crisis?  If you are willing to remove your “gold-bug” blinders, you will soon see the answer is “no.” Second, how can anyone believe that the recent break out in gold is “proof of its safe haven status” when the equity markets have rallied alongside it?  It’s a safe haven from what – a market rally?  Do equity markets also rise on the “expectation of the next financial crisis?” Lastly, the final sentence of the above-quoted paragraph is nothing more than an emotionally charged play upon your fears, as well as your greed.

At the end of the day, this is nothing more than the same type of “gold-bug” thinking that got most of you in trouble in 2011.  Have you not learned your lesson yet?  If you believe in such erroneous thinking, then you should never see gold rally alongside the equity markets and it should absolutely never fall in price when we experience a financial crisis. But, is that true about gold?

No.  These are some of the fallacies presented in order to either sell you “analysis,” or to sell you gold.  It preys upon your fears and is not based in fact.  Do you want to make an investment decision based upon your fears or based upon the truth?

These fear mongers will not point out to you that, since early February, the metals and the miners have been rallying WITH the equity markets.  They will not mention this to you since it presents a fact in opposition to their underlying erroneous thesis.  Moreover, this is not the first time that we have seen gold rally along with the equity markets, nor will it be the last.  I believe this seeming “correlation” will eventually be recognized within our markets, and it can last for several years as we have seen in past history.  But, that is simply not what you are told will happen by most of those telling you to buy goldBased upon their faulty thinking, the market is about to crash, and gold is about to skyrocket.  Yet, history disagrees with their premise.

What Does History Teach Us?

Allow me to show you why only expecting an inverse correlation between equities and metals is just outright wrong.  Of course, we can always point to the fact that metals and equity markets have been rallying together, with over double-digit returns, for the last several months.  But, let’s put that aside for now.

The main premise of these fear mongers is that gold will certainly protect you during a major market crash.  So, let’s take a look at the 2007-2009 timeframe, which evidenced the most significant period of market volatility since the Great Depression, to see if the metals acted as a “safe haven” during the period of time a safe haven was most needed in modern times.

We all know that the S&P 500 topped in October of 2007 and began an estimated 300-point decline into March of 2008. Then we saw a corrective bounce in the equities for a couple of months before it continued to head down. During that same period of time, even while the markets were heading lower, the metals continued to rally strongly. Here we have “evidence” of precious metals rising during a period of market volatility. So, maybe they are a safe haven.

But, when we then look towards the May 2008-March 2009 decline in the equity market, not only did the metals not rally, but they experienced significant declines within that time frame. In fact, gold lost a little more than 30% during the massive equity market sell off. Yes, you heard me right.  Gold and the equity markets both experienced significant declines TOGETHER.

So, here we are presented with clear evidence that gold did not act like a supposed “safe haven.” Moreover, it failed as a “safe haven” during the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, which was the most crucial time period that a safe haven was most needed.

When one is presented with these facts, can one truly have confidence in gold’s “safe haven” status, especially when it failed during the most critical time period since the Great Depression?  Should one rely upon an analyst or salesman who is selling you on the merits of gold’s “safe haven” status in light of the true, hard lessons of recent history?  As George Santayana said, “those that cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.”

If you need further evidence, consider this additional fact.  Back in 2008, the folks at Elliott Wave International published a study that showed that in 10 out of 11 recessionary periods since 1945 gold experienced a negative total return.  Maybe you should be rethinking what you have been sold about gold’s “safe haven” status?

On the opposite side of the market, if one simply looks back to the period of time from 2003-2007, we will clearly see that the metals market rallied along with the equity markets for those years.  So, is it really true that the only time gold will rally is when the equity markets are in decline?

Are you starting to question the perspectives you have been “sold” about gold?  If not, then you should.

Time To Consider The Truth

When one is presented with these facts, can you really believe that metals are the “safe haven” everyone claims they are during down markets?   Can one also come to the conclusion that gold and equities markets trade inversely to each other and the reason you should be investing in gold is its “safe haven” status from a financial crisis?  Clearly, the answer is “no,” if you are truly honest in your analysis.

Again, when one actually looks at the facts rather than the supposition, fallacy, and fear being sold by most of the article writers and sellers of gold out there, it tells you to ignore much of what is presented about this market and begin to think for yourself. Much of what you have been fed about this market is simply wrong, and until you are able to look objectively at the market, you will likely see long periods of time where you are on the wrong side of the market purely because you bought into these suppositions, fallacies, and fear.  Or, did you already forget the pain you felt during the decline between 2011-2015?

Why can’t we also believe in gold as a solid investment during periods of time when financial markets rally, as history clearly shows it can be?  One simply needs to develop an appropriate understanding as to when gold will rally along with the equity market or inversely to it.

Sadly, most analysts and investors do not truly understand the gold market, and just regurgitate the same fallacies over and over to prey upon your fears and greed.  Isn’t it about time you look for an objective perspective on gold which understands how the market truly works?

Avi Gilburt is a widely followed Elliott Wave technical analyst and author of ElliottWaveTrader.net (www.elliottwavetrader.net), a live Trading Room featuring his intraday market analysis (including emini S&P500, metals, oil, USD & VXX), interactive member-analyst forum, and detailed library of Elliott Wave education. Visit his website:https://www.elliottwavetrader.net. You can contact Avi at: info@elliottwavetrader.net.